The Arab Spring’s spirit still burns in Libya

The Libyan elections were free and peaceful – and did not lead to Islamist victory

Libya vote: the turnout was robust and fewer than 2 per cent of polling stations were closed

Libya has gone off-script. This was supposed, by some, to be a simple story: naive liberals support Libyan revolution, Islamists hijack revolution. The end. Last year, the American Spectator warned that “it is becoming increasingly apparent that Islamism will be the dominant political force in the country”, with “ever more visible links to al-Qaeda”. John Bradley, writing in this country’s Spectator, wailed that “self-declared former al-Qaeda fighters and bands of tribal fanatics” had taken over Libya and “imposed sharia law on the once-secular country”.

So, how is that post-revolutionary Islamist wasteland shaping up today? Well, a coalition led by the Western-educated political scientist and former interim Prime Minister Mahmoud Jibril appears to have won Libya’s first free elections in 60 years, sweeping aside its Islamist opponents. Even in their eastern stronghold of Darnah, the hardline Islamists were thumped. These elections garnered 62 per cent turnout. They were mostly peaceful, with fewer than 2 per cent of polling stations closed. According to one observer, they were “described as a big family wedding, with lots of loud celebration and tears of joy”. Even in those areas thought to be hostile to the revolution – such as Sirte, Colonel Gaddafi’s hometown – turnout was surprisingly robust. Continue reading

Syria: difficult problems for US policy

As slaughter continues in Syria, many people hope for a resolution or some kind of solution to emerge. Civilians are being shelled by artillery & fired upon by tanks, in what are indisputable war crimes.

In this environment, many question what US and NATO action should be taken. Senator John McCain is now criticizing President Obama’s lead on the issue. But does this actually recognize the situation — and realistically, what can be done? Continue reading

Afghanistan political solution — “warlord democracy”

As the war in Afghanistan rattles towards its 11th year, Western forces are trying to find a way to exit the conflict.

The government of Hamid Karzai, however, presents an inadequate partner for peace. Viewed as a feeble Western puppet having no authority beyond Kabul, the Karzai government cannot secure the country — & will likely flee, as soon as NATO leaves.

No other central figure or electable leader, is apparent (excluding Taleban). There are, however, one group of effective power-brokers on whom Washington could call. Continue reading

Saudi Arabia is Israel’s last hope: report

A recent report by Tel Aviv University says Saudi Arabia is the last hope and defense line for Israel, and describes the Saudis as Tel Aviv’s last chance to protect its political interests in the Arab world.

The report said most of Israel’s allies in the region have collapsed and cannot play a significant role in the Arab world. Continue reading

Libya: West must support Arab freedom

Following years of death & war in the Middle East, and a decade battling the scourge of Al-Qaeda, Western governments must support Arabs when they choose to fight for their own freedom.

The history of Western policy in the Middle East, has been fraught with tears. Invasions of Iraq & Afghanistan, have cost billions and brought chaos and disorder.

Policies of supporting unpopular ‘puppet’ regimes, led to widespread hostility & resentment — and contributed to the rise both of Ayatollah Khomeini in Iran, and Al-Qaeda. Continue reading